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Monthly Archives: March 2016

Republican ElephantBarring an open convention, there is only one viable candidate left that can defeat Donald Trump, Rafael Edward “Ted” Cruz.  While some new Cruz supporters claim they had to choose between being shot or being poisoned and chose poison, I believe the difference between Trump and Cruz is much greater.  Cruz does have to tone it down a little when it comes to cowboy diplomacy, but he has that flat tax, 10% personal income and 16% corporate tax and from my very first post in 2011, showed my support for the flat tax, and Cruz is a constitutionalist and under a Ted Cruz presidency, our Bill of Rights is safe.  Unlike Trump who wants to gut the First Amendment and the way protesters are handled at Trump rallies, Trump demonstrates over and over again he only believes in free speech on his terms.  Ted Cruz is not a neo-fascist; Donald Trump shows signs of it.

Many Republicans, and not just politicians and elected officials, but pundits and everyday citizens registered Republicans claim Trump should be the nominee if he does indeed get 1237 delegates and no last minute rule changes.  Many threaten to bolt from the party if the convention is opened by the RNC.  Well, if nobody gets 1237 delegates (half the delegation plus one) and not enough uncommitted and super delegates switch candidates on the first ballot, it is standard operating procedures to open the convention.  The voters will have spoken, but unable to come to a consensus.  Unlike the Democrats, the Republicans also have a rule that requires a candidate win the majority of delegates in at least eight states to be viable on the first ballot.  If nobody goes into the convention in Cleveland this summer with 1237 delegates and Cruz wins only seven states, making Trump the only candidate to win in more than eight states, even if Cruz gets his 1237, the convention will open.  This is the standard procedure but will lead to protests and possible riots among Trump supporters nonetheless and many voters will be disillusioned.  I am not vehemently disagreeing with them, but there is a clemency; a greater good to stop the neo-fascist Trump from being our beloved party nominee.

The best solution is for registered Republicans in the remaining states that will soon host primaries (Connecticut is on April 26), to come out in droves and vote for Ted Cruz.  The insurgence of today will be the establishment of tomorrow; with the failures of John Boehner and Mitch McConnell, a switch was inevitably going to be thrown.  At least let it be in the direction of the preservation of the Constitution and not go down the Trump roadway which if not careful, can ultimately lead to a one-party system, leading to the end of democracy as we know it.  I also believe Ted Cruz can beat Hillary Clinton as the election will be a true referendum on whether the American people want a liberal or conservative future in policy-making and framing the nation for the next century.  Let us TRUSTED and hope for the best.

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Republican ElephantYou gave it your best; it just was not your time.  Keep your conservative views and stand on principle.  Ronald Reagan vied for the nomination in 1968 and 1976, and was the nominee in 1980 and became one of the greatest presidents in the history of this great nation.

We need to keep the Republican establishment alive.  It is failing now due to divided government and low information citizens voting in people without enough information influencing their decisions.  Compassionate conservatism is the best ideology to shape the future of this company and that is not what we get from The Donald.

Hang in there, Marco, your time will come.

American-Flag1My stomach is in knots with this post.  The last thing I wanted is to be brash opposing one candidate, especially someone running as a Republican.  And I am very uneasy about the RNC opening the convention and voiding the primary votes—a stab in the aorta of the will of the people and what democracy should be about.  But if it happens, those who open the convention will be worthy of clemency this one time.  It is a far greater good preventing a neo-fascist from rising to power.  Donald Trump is a threat to free speech and the right to petition and assemble—both inalienable rights guaranteed us in the First Amendment of our Constitution, he encourages violence and hateful behavior as he does not want anyone at his rallies who demonstrate opposition to him and his ways, and nothing but demagoguery comes out of his mouth.

The first step is Senator Rubio must win in Florida, which looks unlikely, and Governor Kasich must win in Ohio—so far so good in the Buckeye State.  If Trump sweeps the board, he is on his way to 1,237 delegates and then punitive action will be required among the RNC to open the convention, which will void the votes and turn the nomination process over to the delegates.  If no candidate has 1,237 delegates, it won’t hurt as much as after no decision on a first ballot, it is standard operating procedures as the voters failed to draw a majority consensus.  But Trump is the new fuhrer and must be stopped no matter what.

It is important for Ted Cruz to win some primaries going forward and not drop out.  If there is one alternative from the campaign still standing, he has an advantage.  If all drop out and concede to Trump, an open convention could become brokered, bringing in a new set of delegates, and resulting in an establishment candidate who did not declare in the summer of 2015 resulting in a throwback to the days when power brokers and delegates determined our parties’ candidates.  Not that an establishment Republican would be a bad thing, but there are so few left due to the rise of the Tea Party and their failures in Washington over the past two decades.  With Marco not making the grade, Ted Cruz is our last real hope and as much as I lament for Marco, I will change my endorsement after Super Tuesday 3 if Marco cannot win Florida.  It may not be such a bad thing mathematically.  Trump has yet to win a primary with 50% or more of the vote and this may be one last ditch effort to mobilize the anti-Trump forces around one candidate.  In defense of Cruz, the pundits are wrong to say the difference between Trump and Cruz is the difference of being shot or poisoned.  Cruz is a Constitutionalist and nobody’s First Amendment rights are in jeopardy in a Cruz administration.  The question becomes can Cruz defeat Hillary Clinton?  I think Rubio would be stronger against Clinton.  I wish Marco and his family well, but this is not his year.

WE THE PEOPLE need to stop Trump and save our republic before it is too late!

 

Republican ElephantNot sure Donald Trump can be stopped at this point.  I cannot endorse him and in a Clinton v. Trump election in November, I will probably have to do a write-in. I don’t like throwing my vote away on a protest write-in, but I am completely at a loss.

Scenario 1: Ted Cruz (not to dismiss Rubio but it looks like the clock ran out on him) wins those upcoming winner take all states.  It has possibilities because if he wins over Trump by one vote he gets all those delegates in those states.  There are a handful of post Super Tuesday states that are not winner take all and he would have to win big in those venues.  Also, one of several reasons I chose Rubio over Cruz in my pre Super Tuesday endorsement was the issue over his Canadian birth.  He seems to be cleared by the courts to run for president, but it still serves as fodder for Trump, especially since the courts do not always get it right and some people may still believe he is not a natural-born citizen, cannot run, and what would happen if he got elected in November and before 01-20-2017, a court case was open?

Scenario 2: Reince Priebus motions the Republican delegation at the convention in Cleveland on July 18 to open the convention.  Priebus cannot open the convention just for the sake of opening it and void everybody’s primary and caucus votes; that would be a stab in the aorta of the government of the people, by the people, and for the people.  There would have to be clear cut evidence that Donald Trump committed a high crime, misdemeanor, or serious infraction of both Republican Party and election rules protocol.  The David Duke thing is alarming to me, but barring Donald Trump putting on a white sheet (and mess up his comb-over) and burning a cross on somebody’s lawn, it is not illegal to be a bigot; there is no place for it in the twenty-first century, but expressing bigoted opinions is covered under free speech.  There is the Trump University scam, but what did he advertize for $36,000 in the first place?  The courts would have to find him guilty of fraud first.

Scenario 3: The Grand Old Party splits up and a new party for conservatives is formed, provoking the two-party system to be replaced by a three-party system.  With the ramifications of more than two-parties and pluralities replacing majorities like the way it is done in France is the hefty price we should pay on the issue of one candidate in one election.  Either the new conservative third party candidate will not be relevant; another John Anderson or Ross Perot getting zero electoral votes, or will rally conservatives around this alternative and force the election to the House of Representatives.  One reason we kept the Electoral College around all these years is to ensure a majority albeit an artificial majority.  The number 270 is based on half of 538 plus one, which is based on 100 senators per state, 435 congressmen based on the population of the state, and 3 for Washington, DC based on a minimum sized state would have two senators and one congressman.  If you have three major parties, the number to win the presidency is still 270, not a third of the electorate plus one.  A House of Representatives appointed president would serve to deepen the dissolution young people have about politics and the understanding that their vote counts.

With all three scenarios appearing set up to fail, I am at a loss.  I do not see a Constitutional way to dump Trump at this point in time.  I will not adjudicate  or elaborate on it at this time, but I am convinced if Donald Trump got elected President of the United States, most of his supporters will be saying careful what you wish for…